
Chinas Electric Trucks Are Breaking the Diesel Assumptions in Oil Forecasts A Freight System Transformation by 2030
Chinas ambitious heavy-truck electrification program targets 40% new-energy truck sales by 2030, with 1.6 million vehicles concentrated on 30,000 km of zero-carbon freight corridors. This is not a vehicle mandate but a freight system redesign that could displace several hundred thousand barrels of diesel per day, fundamentally challenging global oil demand forecasts that still assume sustained Chinese road-fuel growth.



